With less than two weeks to the 2023 general elections, insights have been given into the factors that will decide the winner of the presidential poll

The winner of the presidential poll is expected to have 25% of the votes cast in at least two-thirds of all the states, including the FCT

However, if this threshold is lacking, the two candidates with the highest votes will head for a run-off election

The 2023 general election is getting closer than ever, and the stakes are high on who takes up the baton of leadership from President Muhammadu Buhari.

In the build-up to the general elections, the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) has continued to sensitise Nigerians and electorates on the electoral practices of the country.

The 2023 general election is getting closer than ever, and the stakes are high on who takes up the baton of leadership from President Muhammadu Buhari. In the build-up to the general elections, the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) has continued to sensitise Nigerians and electorates on the electoral practices of the country.

According to Yiaga Africa’s election advisory document My Election Buddy, made available to Legit.ng, the legal requirements for declaring a winner in the presidential and legislative polls differ. INEC can only announce a winner if specific legal requirements are fulfilled.

For legislative elections, winners emerge through a Simple Majority.

Any candidate with the highest number of votes is declared a winner.

Meanwhile, for the executive election, like the presidential election, the Constitution sets two primary criteria for determining a winner of a presidential election.

1. A presidential candidate must secure the highest number of votes cast at the election.

2. The candidate must secure at least 25% of votes cast in at least two-thirds of all the states of the federation and the federal capital territory.
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It is important to note that one of the presidential candidates contesting in the 2023 election will only be declared the winner if the candidate secures the Simple Majority of votes cast on Saturday, February 25 and 25% of the votes in 24 out of the 36 states.

What happens when a candidate does not secure this threshold?

It is also important to note that INEC will take a crucial decision in a situation where any candidate does not meet the threshold.

The crucial decision referred to here is that INEC will conduct a second election, known as a “run-off”, within 21 days from the day of the declaration of the result of the first election.

A run-off is a voting system used to elect a single winner. Of course, the ultimate goal in an election is for a winner to emerge.

For the presidential run-off election, not all 18 registered political parties sponsoring candidates will participate; only two will be on the ballot.

Who will be on the ballot in a run-off poll

1. The first will be the presidential candidate who secured the highest number of lawful votes.

2. The second will be the candidate with a majority of votes in the highest number of states.

3. Where there is more than one candidate with a majority of the votes in the highest number of states, the one with the highest total number of votes will be the second candidate for the election.

4. Victory in a run-off election is by simple majority.